What Are The Odds The Buffalo Bills Make The Playoffs?
The Buffalo Bills' chance of making the NFL playoffs this season took a big hit on Monday night.
The Bills dropped to 5-5 on the season with all 5 losses coming against AFC teams, so where does that put them in the playoff hunt?
Right now the Bills are on the outside looking in at the seven-team playoff race. According to the New York Times playoff simulator, after last night's loss, the Bills only have a 19% chance of making the playoffs as of this morning.
There are 7 games left, so using the simulator let's find out how the odds change based on the outcome of those remaining games.
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THE BILLS WIN ALL THEIR REMAINING GAME
This is highly unlikely since the Bills have the 3rd toughest schedule in the NFL. If they were to run the table and finish 12-5, the chances of them making the playoffs would be 100%. They would most likely be hosting the opening round of the playoffs as well.
THE BILLS WIN 6 GAMES
Say the Bills drop a game to Kansas City or Dallas, Finishing the season at 11-6 would give the Bills a 99% chance of making the playoffs. Most likely they would be hosting a playoff game.
THE BILLS WIN 5 GAMES
This might be the most real scenario as the Bill are expected to drop games to Kansas City, Philly, and/or Dallas. They would finish with a 10-7 record. Their odds of making the playoffs would be 77% and they most likely would be on the road for every playoff game.
The BILLS WIN 4 GAMES
Again this is a real possibility with the schedule the Bills have for the remainder of the season. They would finish with a 9-8 record and the odds of making the playoffs would be 21%. They would be on the road for every playoff game.
The BILLS WIN 3 OR FEWER GAMES
That would basically mean the Bills would not make the playoffs this year. They would have a 2% or lower chance of making it with a losing record.
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